NWPL Wraps Regular Season With All Teams Alive: Playoff Scenarios

The final week of the Northwest Premier League regular season is upon us and every single team is still alive, fighting for playoff position or the last two playoff spots. That means there are a ton of scenarios to discuss. The top four teams are locked in but could change positions, we have provided the best case and most likely scenarios for them but have broken down all the scenarios for the final two playoff spots. Stay tuned, it could be a wild weekend! And a big thank you to Chris Wells for helping break all of this down.

Standings-Week-7b


Capital FC Atletica (0 games remaining): Takes 1st place with two Seattle losses, one Seattle loss and one draw, or two Seattle draws.

Seattle FC Stars (2 games remaining): Takes 1st place with one win.

Washington Premier (1 game remaining): Finishes 3rd with a win or a loss and a loss by Yakima or two draws by Yakima.

Yakima United (2 games remaining): Finishes 2nd with two wins and a loss by Seattle to NCW.


Capital, Seattle, Washington Premier and Yakima have all clinched a top 4 finish. But the scenarios for 5th and 6th are where it gets wild. Not all of these are likely and some would take a miracle, but here we go…

Washington Timbers: (1 game remaining):

Timbers get the 5 seed if all happens:

– Timbers beat Premier.

Timbers get the 5 seed if all happens:

– Timbers draws against Premier.
– Oly-Pen draws or loses to TCU.
– NCW loses to Seattle Stars.
– Blackhills gets a draw or loss against Yakima.

Timbers get the 6 seed if all happens:
– Timbers draws against Premier.
– TCU beats Oly-Pen.
– NCW beats Seattle Stars.

3 way tie scenario that pushes TCU to the 5, Timbers to the 6 and NCW out. Unless NCW wins by 10.

Timbers get the 6 seed if all happens:
– Timbers draw against Premier.
– NCW beats Seattle Stars.
– Oly-Pen draws against TCU.

Oly-Pen to the 5, Timbers 6, NCW out unless they win by 10.

Timbers get the 6 seed if all happens:
– Timbers draws against Premier. 7 points.
– Oly-Pen draws against TCU. 7
– Blackhills beats Yakima. 8
– NCW gets a draw or loss to Seattle Stars.

Timbers get the 6 seed if all happens:
– Timbers draws against Premier. 7 points.
– Oly-Pen beats TCU. 9
– Blackhills gets a draw or loss to Yakima.
– NCW gets a draw or loss against Seattle Stars.

Timbers get the 6 seed if all happens:
– Timbers lose to Premier.
– TCU or Oly-Pen get a win.
– Blackhills draw or lose.
– NCW draw or lose.

Timbers get the 6 seed if all happens:
– Timbers lose to Premier.
– TCU and Oly-Pen draw.
– Blackhills draw or lose.
– NCW draw or lose.

Oly-Pen Force (1 game remaining):

Oly-Pen get the 6 seed if all happen:
– Oly-Pen gets a win over TCU.
– Timbers gets a win over Premier.

Timbers to the 5. Oly-Pen to the 6 with 9 points.

Oly-Pen gets the 6 seed if all happen:
– Oly-Pen gets a draw against TCU.
– Blackhills gets a draw or loss against Yakima.
– Timbers gets a draw or win over Premier.

Timbers to the 5. Oly-Pen to the 6 with 7 points.

Oly-Pen gets the 5 seed if all happen:

– Oly-Pen gets a win over TCU. 9 points.
– Timbers gets a draw or loss against Premier. 7 or 6 points.

Oly-Pen gets the 5 seed if all happen:

– Oly-Pen gets a draw against TCU.
– Timbers gets a draw against Premier.
– NCW gets a win over Seattle Stars.
– Yakima gets a draw or win over Blackhills.

This 3 way tie at 7 points with all 3 teams having beaten one of the other teams and a loss to the other team pushes down to the goal differential tie breaker. Which, unless NCW wins by 10 goals, pushes Oly-Pen to 5 and Timbers to the 6.

Blackhills FC (1 game remaining):

Blackhills get the 6 seed if all happen:

– Blackhillls must win over Yakima. Draw does not help with tie breaker order.
– Timbers draw or loss Premier – OR – Oly-Pen draw or loss to TCU.

If Blackhills wins and both Timbers and Oly-Pen draw or lose, Blackhills gets the 5.

If Blackhills wins and one of Timbers or Oly-Pen draw or lose and the other gets a win, Blackhills gets the 6.

Twin City Union (1 game remaining):

TCU get the 5 or 6 seed if all happen:

– With a win over Oly-Pen. Draw does not help.
– Washington Timbers loss against Washington Premier – OR – Yakima draw or win over Blackhills.

If Timbers lose and Yakima has a draw or win, TCU gets the 5. If Timbers get a draw or win and Yakima gets a draw or win, TCU gets the 6 and Timbers to the 5. If Timbers lose and Blackhills wins, TCU gets the 6, Blackhills gets the 5.

NCW Alliance (1 game remaining):

NCW get the 6 seed if all happen:

– With a win over Seattle Stars. Draw does not help.
– Washington Timbers lose to Washington Premier
– Yakima with a draw or win over Blackhills.
– Oly-Pen with a draw or win over TCU

That scenario has Oly-Pen at 5. NCW at 6.

NCW is unable to secure the 5 seed.


So there you have it. All the scenarios, or at least all of the scenarios that we were able to figure out regarding the 5th and 6th spots in the playoffs. It has been a great season in the NWPL, good luck to all!

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